The Centre organised a training course on 'Statistical Data Analysis' at the Central Department of Statistics and Information in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on 16-19 September 2013. The course was provided by Dr. Ali Said, an expert from the BPS-Statistics, Indonesia.

The training course on ‘Statistical Data Analysis’ covered the following topics:

Introduction to Statistical Analysis of Time Series

• The importance of projection and forecasting
• Method of forecasting
  • Qualitative
  • Quantitative

Descriptive Analysis of Time Series

• What is a time series
• Components of time series
• Steps of time series analysis
• Measures of forecast accuracy
• Data Preparations
  • Estimation of Missing Values
  • Transformations

Time Series Models

• Classical Forecasting
  • Forecasting with Growth Rate
  • Using Trend Models
  • Smoothing Techniques
    • Moving Average
    • Single Exponential Smoothing (SES)
    • Holt’s Linear Exponential Smoothing (Double ES)
    • Holt-Winter Exponential Smoothing
• Modern Approach to Forecasting
  • Autoregressive Model
• Decomposition Methods
  • Additive decomposition
  • Multiplicative decomposition
  • Seasonal variation
  • Determining seasonal index
• Population Projection

Computer Software for Forecasting

• Using Microsoft Excel for Forecasting
• Zaitun Time Series Software (http://www.zaitunsoftware.com/about-zaitun-time-series)